Landscape 360 — The Landscape Group

Landscape 360 Outlook 1H26 · 27 June 2026

Heat and Hormuz

An energy shock and a record-hot planet converge — hardening the case for the climate transition.

The semi-annual digest of climate and green economy developments. This inaugural issue reads the first half of 2026 through two forces: the Iran conflict that closed the Strait of Hormuz and sent crude up roughly 64 percent, and a climate system that kept breaking records — warming near 1.46°C, the hottest oceans in a millennium, over 150 million hectares burned, and El Niño developing.

The two reinforce each other. Fossil-fuel volatility made energy security, not only climate ambition, the argument for decarbonization: wind and solar overtook gas in global power for the first time, and energy-transition investment hit a record $2.3 trillion. For Landscape the signal is direct — carbon-market integrity rules are tightening, nature finance is professionalizing toward forest economies, and Indonesia's new forestry-carbon rules arrive as demand for credible landscape finance intensifies.

Download the issue (PDF) 12 pages · semi-annual

What Landscape 360 is

Landscape 360 is a special program within Landscape Advisory dedicated to public education on the issues The Landscape Group works on.

Its purpose is straightforward: decisions about energy, land, and climate finance are being made quickly and often on thin evidence, and the parties affected by them — district governments, companies, journalists, communities — rarely have access to the underlying analysis. Landscape 360 releases that analysis rather than holding it as proprietary advice.

Every piece carries the reasoning, the data, and the assumptions behind it, so a reader can follow how a conclusion was reached and disagree with it on the merits. Where a number depends on a scenario, the scenario is stated. Where the evidence is thin, that is stated too.

What it covers

The program follows the same subject matter as the Group’s advisory work, released in numbered series by theme.

Energy transition: power market reform, coal retirement and transition credits, distributed renewables, and the socio-economic implications of the shift at sub-national level. Climate crisis and decarbonization: the modeled economic cost of climate events, carbon pricing, net zero pathways, and Indonesia’s contributions under the Paris Agreement.

Nature-based and ecosystem services: deforestation and commodity value chains, forest finance, jurisdictional sourcing, peat and coastal restoration, and nature-based recovery after disaster. Geopolitics and macroeconomics where they bear directly on Indonesia’s energy and climate position.

Who it is for

The audience is anyone who has to act on these issues and is not served by either a press release or a consultancy invoice.

Government agencies and their advisors, who need the numbers behind a policy option before committing to it. Companies and investors assessing exposure and opportunity. Journalists covering energy and land use, who need a source that will show its working. Researchers, students, and civil society organizations building on the evidence base.

All output is published without charge. Where a piece was produced under a commissioned assignment, the commissioner is named and the release is agreed with them.

Output